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03-21-2013, 06:14 PM
The three most important numbers in today’s Q-poll have little to do with Rick Scott

By Peter Schorsch on March 20, 2013

The three most important numbers in this morning’s Quinnipiac poll showing Charlie Crist with a sixteen point lead over Rick Scott have nothing to do with Crist.

That Crist leads Scott, even by double digits, is nothing new or unexpected.

That Scott’s approval rating is still mired in the mid 30s is also nothing new or unexpected.

No, the three most important numbers in this Q-poll are:

Scott crushes Adam Putnam, 47 to 24 percent, in a possible GOP primary. That number should tramp down any talk of Putnam rising up against the Governor. That and the oppo file Scott’s surrogates dropped on Marc Caputo two weeks ago listing some of Putnam’s bad votes while he was in Congress.

The second number is Florida voters say 50 – 40 percent that Crist’s switch from Republican to independent and now to Democrat is a positive thing that shows he is a pragmatist, rather than a negative thing that shows he lacks core beliefs.

The fact that voters think it’s an asset that Crist moved from conservative Republican to a Democrat with very different political views will be a key metric to watch between now and the 2014 voting. “These numbers indicate Republicans will have a tough job turning around Crist’s lead over Scott by reminding voters of Crist’s evolution,” said said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

The third number is that by a 50 to 40 percent margin voters want to expand Medicaid coverage to new recipients. Don Gaetz, Joe Negron and Will Weatherford should pay heed to this number as their legislative colleagues continue to block Medicaid expansion. Perhaps this obstruction is why voters disapprove 52 – 25 percent of the job the Legislature is doing.